Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.046108 0.054252 0.063358 0.074290 0.087050 0.101469 0.118996
2025-07-20 0.033659 0.044240 0.057380 0.074869 0.097508 0.125801 0.163831
2025-07-27 0.026468 0.037906 0.053308 0.075502 0.106601 0.148566 0.209445
2025-08-03 0.021869 0.033627 0.050554 0.076591 0.115522 0.171451 0.257786
2025-08-10 0.018871 0.030858 0.049140 0.078892 0.125927 0.197219 0.313257
2025-08-17 0.015492 0.026793 0.044959 0.076071 0.127799 0.210083 0.350555
2025-08-24 0.013324 0.024251 0.042671 0.075712 0.133207 0.228733 0.398957
2025-08-31 0.011460 0.021875 0.040229 0.074601 0.136989 0.244905 0.444973
2025-09-07 0.010318 0.020582 0.039428 0.076149 0.145443 0.269817 0.508921
2025-09-14 0.009046 0.018823 0.037496 0.075287 0.149294 0.286887 0.560692
2025-09-21 0.007849 0.017011 0.035181 0.073315 0.150688 0.299452 0.605382
2025-09-28 0.006798 0.015321 0.032847 0.070937 0.150891 0.309632 0.646489
2025-10-05 0.006241 0.014611 0.032441 0.072527 0.159482 0.337565 0.727092
2025-10-12 0.005654 0.013742 0.031580 0.073040 0.165923 0.362012 0.803821
2025-10-19 0.005147 0.012972 0.030817 0.073647 0.172624 0.387765 0.886479
2025-10-26 0.004732 0.012351 0.030294 0.074707 0.180445 0.416797 0.979779
2025-11-02 0.004437 0.011975 0.030283 0.076953 0.191262 0.453659 1.095040
2025-11-09 0.003885 0.010853 0.028317 0.074200 0.189886 0.462747 1.147505
2025-11-16 0.003529 0.010186 0.027376 0.073849 0.194279 0.485700 1.235426
2025-11-23 0.003178 0.009473 0.026216 0.072765 0.196680 0.504153 1.314639
2025-11-30 0.002981 0.009160 0.026053 0.074275 0.205928 0.540372 1.442235
2025-12-07 0.002707 0.008574 0.025072 0.073434 0.208867 0.561145 1.533061
2025-12-14 0.002421 0.007907 0.023768 0.071509 0.208619 0.573720 1.604076